Duke
W-L: (46-15) PR = 96.6137Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 5- 2 206 A Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 1- 2 207 H Buffalo MA ( 1-13, 87.8) 3- 1 207 A Cal State Bakersfield BW ( 0-18, 86.8) 13- 4 208 H Cal State Bakersfield BW ( 0-18, 86.8) 9- 0 213 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 8- 6 213 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 5- 3 214 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 9- 6 214 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 215 A Buffalo MA ( 1-13, 87.8) 4- 1 217 A Elon CA ( 1-14, 87.0) 13- 1 219 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 5-11 219 A Hawai'i BW ( 0- 7, 87.6) 9- 6 220 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 5-10 220 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1-11 221 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 8-11 224 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 4- 5 225 H Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 8- 9 228 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 6- 3 228 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 6- 1 301 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 3- 1 301 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 3- 1 306 A California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 12- 0 307 A California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 3- 1 308 A California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 7- 2 310 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 6- 2 313 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 7- 6 314 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 5- 2 315 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 2-10 317 H UNC Wilmington CA ( 2-11, 89.9) 17- 0 320 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 14-13 321 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 6- 5 322 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 4- 2 327 A Marist MAAC ( 3-10, 89.3) 6- 0 328 A UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 4- 5 329 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 17-14 331 H Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 7- 1 402 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 5- 2 403 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 4- 3 404 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 8- 4 408 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 12- 5 410 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 11- 6 411 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 5- 6 412 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 8- 2 415 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 6- 3 417 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 12- 2 418 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 17- 6 418 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 17- 4 421 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 8- 0 424 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 10- 2 425 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 11- 7 427 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 6- 1 507 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 16- 8 508 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 0- 5 515 H Howard MEAC ( 2- 9, 88.9) 10- 1 516 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 1-10 516 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 11- 1 517 A Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 8- 6 517 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 9- 4 522 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 5-14 523 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 2-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A UCF 5- 2 3 0 + 3.38
206 A Boston University 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.87
207 H Buffalo 3- 1 2 10 --- -7.60
207 A Cal State Bakersfield 13- 4 9 9 -0.08
208 H Cal State Bakersfield 9- 0 9 11 -1.57
213 A Texas A&M 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.91
213 A LSU 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.15
214 H Oklahoma State 9- 6 3 0 + 2.75
214 H Georgia 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.66
215 A Buffalo 4- 1 3 8 -- -5.11
217 A Elon 13- 1 12 9 + 3.13
219 H Texas A&M 5-11 -6 1 --- -6.57
219 A Hawai'i 9- 6 3 8 -- -5.29
220 A UCLA 5-10 -5 -4 -1.33
220 A Oklahoma 1-11 -10 -4 -- -5.97
221 H Oregon 8-11 -3 1 - -3.85
224 H East Carolina 4- 5 -1 6 --- -7.08
225 H Boston University 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.36
228 H Ohio State 6- 3 3 4 -0.51
228 H Northwestern 6- 1 5 2 + 3.07
301 H Ohio State 3- 1 2 4 -1.51
301 H Ohio State 3- 1 2 4 -1.51
306 A California 12- 0 12 5 +++ 7.46
307 A California 3- 1 2 5 - -2.54
308 A California 7- 2 5 5 0.46
310 A South Carolina 6- 2 4 1 + 3.10
313 H Virginia Tech 7- 6 1 0 0.67
314 H Virginia Tech 5- 2 3 0 + 2.67
315 H Virginia Tech 2-10 -8 0 --- -8.33
317 H UNC Wilmington 17- 0 17 7 +++ 6.53
320 A Georgia Tech 14-13 1 1 -0.04
321 A Georgia Tech 6- 5 1 1 -0.04
322 A Georgia Tech 4- 2 2 1 0.96
327 A Marist 6- 0 6 7 -0.57
328 A UNLV 4- 5 -1 4 -- -5.36
329 H Stanford 17-14 3 1 1.97
331 H Campbell 7- 1 6 5 0.73
402 H Virginia 5- 2 3 3 0.13
403 H Virginia 4- 3 1 3 -1.87
404 H Virginia 8- 4 4 3 1.13
408 A Liberty 12- 5 7 4 + 3.50
410 A North Carolina 11- 6 5 2 + 2.92
411 A North Carolina 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.08
412 A North Carolina 8- 2 6 2 + 3.92
415 H Tennessee 6- 3 3 0 + 2.56
417 A Boston College 12- 2 10 5 ++ 4.54
418 A Boston College 17- 6 11 5 ++ 5.54
418 A Boston College 17- 4 13 5 +++ 7.54
421 H Charlotte 8- 0 8 5 + 2.94
424 H Clemson 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.56
425 A Southern Utah 11- 7 4 5 -1.16
427 A Alabama 6- 1 5 -3 +++ 8.26
507 H North Carolina 16- 8 8 4 ++ 4.43
508 H Virginia Tech 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.33
515 H Howard 10- 1 9 8 0.53
516 H Arizona 1-10 -9 0 --- -9.28
516 A Marshall 11- 1 10 2 +++ 8.00
517 A Arizona 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.20
517 H Arizona 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.72
522 A Arkansas 5-14 -9 -4 -- -5.20
523 H Arkansas 2-10 -8 -2 -- -5.69
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Buffalo 3- 1 2 10 --- -7.60 214 H Georgia 1- 9 -8 0 --- -7.66 219 H Texas A&M 5-11 -6 1 --- -6.57 224 H East Carolina 4- 5 -1 6 --- -7.08 315 H Virginia Tech 2-10 -8 0 --- -8.33 516 H Arizona 1-10 -9 0 --- -9.28 215 A Buffalo 4- 1 3 8 -- -5.11 219 A Hawai'i 9- 6 3 8 -- -5.29 220 A Oklahoma 1-11 -10 -4 -- -5.97 225 H Boston University 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.36 328 A UNLV 4- 5 -1 4 -- -5.36 508 H Virginia Tech 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.33 522 A Arkansas 5-14 -9 -4 -- -5.20 523 H Arkansas 2-10 -8 -2 -- -5.69 206 A Boston University 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.87 221 H Oregon 8-11 -3 1 - -3.85 307 A California 3- 1 2 5 - -2.54 411 A North Carolina 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A California 12- 0 12 5 +++ 7.46 317 H UNC Wilmington 17- 0 17 7 +++ 6.53 418 A Boston College 17- 4 13 5 +++ 7.54 427 A Alabama 6- 1 5 -3 +++ 8.26 516 A Marshall 11- 1 10 2 +++ 8.00 417 A Boston College 12- 2 10 5 ++ 4.54 418 A Boston College 17- 6 11 5 ++ 5.54 424 H Clemson 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.56 507 H North Carolina 16- 8 8 4 ++ 4.43 517 H Arizona 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.72 206 A UCF 5- 2 3 0 + 3.38 213 A Texas A&M 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.91 213 A LSU 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.15 214 H Oklahoma State 9- 6 3 0 + 2.75 217 A Elon 13- 1 12 9 + 3.13 228 H Northwestern 6- 1 5 2 + 3.07 310 A South Carolina 6- 2 4 1 + 3.10 314 H Virginia Tech 5- 2 3 0 + 2.67 408 A Liberty 12- 5 7 4 + 3.50 410 A North Carolina 11- 6 5 2 + 2.92 412 A North Carolina 8- 2 6 2 + 3.92 415 H Tennessee 6- 3 3 0 + 2.56 421 H Charlotte 8- 0 8 5 + 2.94 517 A Arizona 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 5- 2 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.41 13.60
3 A Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 1- 2 -5.90 13.47 0.74 0.41 -1.07
3 H Buffalo ( 1-13, 87.8) 3- 1 -12.14 7.23 -0.74 0.41 5.36
3 A Cal State Bake ( 0-18, 86.8) 13- 4 -13.11 6.26 0.74 0.41 5.79
3 H Cal State Bake ( 0-18, 86.8) 9- 0 -13.11 6.26 -0.74 0.41 4.56
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 8- 6 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.41 14.04
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 5- 3 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.41 14.24
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 9- 6 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.41 13.08
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.41 -0.61
3 A Buffalo ( 1-13, 87.8) 4- 1 -12.14 7.23 0.74 0.41 6.59
3 A Elon ( 1-14, 87.0) 13- 1 -12.90 6.47 0.74 0.41 5.96
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 5-11 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.41 -0.80
3 A Hawai'i ( 0- 7, 87.6) 9- 6 -12.32 7.05 0.74 0.41 6.44
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 5-10 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.41 -0.08
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1-11 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.41 -0.15
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 8-11 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 0.41 -0.86
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 4- 5 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.41 -1.93
3 H Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 8- 9 -5.90 13.47 -0.74 0.41 -1.37
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 6- 3 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.41 10.39
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 6- 1 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.41 11.70
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 3- 1 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.41 10.39
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 3- 1 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.41 10.39
3 A California (17-34, 91.3) 12- 0 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.41 9.54
3 A California (17-34, 91.3) 3- 1 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.41 9.54
3 A California (17-34, 91.3) 7- 2 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.41 9.54
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 6- 2 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.41 12.54
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 7- 6 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.41 13.02
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.41 13.02
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 2-10 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.41 -0.75
3 H UNC Wilmington ( 2-11, 89.9) 17- 0 -10.02 9.35 -0.74 0.41 7.11
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 14-13 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.41 12.44
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 6- 5 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.41 12.44
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 4- 2 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.41 12.44
3 A Marist ( 3-10, 89.3) 6- 0 -10.60 8.77 0.74 0.41 7.86
3 A UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 4- 5 -8.39 10.98 0.74 0.41 -1.58
3 H Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 17-14 -3.57 15.80 -0.74 0.41 12.44
3 H Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 7- 1 -7.81 11.56 -0.74 0.41 8.94
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 5- 2 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 0.41 10.92
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 4- 3 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 0.41 10.92
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 8- 4 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 0.41 10.92
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 12- 5 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.41 10.40
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 11- 6 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.41 11.57
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 5- 6 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.41 -1.11
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 8- 2 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.41 11.57
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 6- 3 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.41 12.93
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 12- 2 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.41 8.78
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 17- 6 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.41 8.78
3 A Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 17- 4 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.41 8.78
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 8- 0 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.41 9.11
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 10- 2 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.41 10.45
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 11- 7 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.41 9.03
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 6- 1 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.41 15.99
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 16- 8 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.41 10.34
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 0- 5 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.41 -0.75
3 H Howard ( 2- 9, 88.9) 10- 1 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.41 6.29
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 1-10 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.41 -0.74
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 11- 1 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.41 11.64
3 A Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 8- 6 -2.83 16.54 0.74 0.41 14.28
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 9- 4 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.41 13.06
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 5-14 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.41 -0.11
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 2-10 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.41 -0.20
------
467.05
|
winning pts = 479.1486 losing points = -12.0962
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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